FA Cup 1/16
Global 1-0
Liverpool vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
LIV
1 - 1
BIR
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
LIV
1 - 1
WIM
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
LIV
0 - 1
IPS
76%
17%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
LIV
1 - 0
ARS
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
BIR
0 - 0
LIV
15%
21%
64%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
NOT
3 - 0
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
CAM
2 - 4
BUR
53%
22%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
OPA
2 - 0
BUR
47%
26%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
BUR
5 - 1
SOU
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
BUR
0 - 3
MID
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |