Liverpool vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.8%
4.3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1979 |
LIV
1 - 0
BIR
79%
15%
7%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1979 |
LIV
1 - 0
BBU
86%
11%
3%
|
93 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
LIV
2 - 1
WBA
64%
21%
15%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1978 |
MUD
0 - 3
LIV
37%
28%
34%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1978 |
LIV
2 - 1
AND
71%
16%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 1
SUN
40%
22%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
SUN
3 - 1
BUR
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
BUR
0 - 0
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1978 |
BUR
2 - 1
BBU
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
NEW
3 - 1
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |