Liverpool vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
NOR
0 - 1
LIV
36%
30%
33%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1976 |
LIV
2 - 1
SGD
60%
21%
19%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
BIR
0 - 1
LIV
42%
29%
29%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
LIV
0 - 2
MID
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1976 |
SGD
0 - 0
LIV
61%
23%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
BUR
1 - 2
TOT
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
BUR
0 - 0
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
STO
4 - 1
BUR
60%
22%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
BUR
2 - 2
ASV
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1976 |
BUR
3 - 1
SHE
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |