Liverpool vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1953 |
LIV
1 - 1
WOL
38%
24%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1953 |
TOT
2 - 1
LIV
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1953 |
WOL
2 - 1
LIV
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1953 |
LIV
1 - 5
PNE
42%
24%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1953 |
NEW
4 - 0
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1953 |
TOT
2 - 3
BUR
68%
17%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1953 |
BUR
1 - 4
WBA
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1953 |
BUR
4 - 2
TOT
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1953 |
MID
1 - 3
BUR
56%
22%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1953 |
BPO
2 - 0
BUR
59%
21%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |