Liverpool vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
ARS
1 - 2
LIV
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 4
HUR
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 0
CHA
58%
22%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 1
SHW
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
BUR
1 - 0
DER
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
WOL
0 - 1
BUR
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
CHL
0 - 2
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
BUR
1 - 2
MUD
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
BUR
2 - 1
CHL
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |