Liverpool vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
BUR
3 - 2
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
MAC
2 - 3
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 1
BBU
58%
20%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
SUN
2 - 1
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
LIV
3 - 0
DER
59%
21%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
BUR
3 - 2
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
ARS
3 - 1
BUR
52%
21%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
BUR
0 - 2
SHW
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
BOL
0 - 1
BUR
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
BUR
4 - 1
OPA
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |