Liverpool vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1925 |
SHE
0 - 1
LIV
53%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
PNE
4 - 0
LIV
43%
28%
30%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
SOU
1 - 0
LIV
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
SUN
3 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
LIV
1 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 3
NEW
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
BUR
5 - 4
WHU
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1925 |
BOL
5 - 0
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 4
TOT
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1925 |
CAR
4 - 0
BUR
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |