Liverpool vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1922 |
LIV
5 - 2
PNE
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1922 |
PNE
1 - 3
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1922 |
LIV
5 - 1
SUN
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1922 |
SUN
1 - 0
LIV
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1922 |
BUR
0 - 1
TOT
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1922 |
TOT
1 - 3
BUR
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1922 |
BUR
4 - 1
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1922 |
WBA
2 - 1
BUR
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 1
BUR
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |