Liverpool vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
BUR
1 - 2
LIV
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
LIV
0 - 1
CHL
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
CHL
1 - 0
LIV
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
NEW
3 - 0
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
LIV
1 - 1
NEW
71%
18%
12%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
BUR
1 - 2
LIV
67%
19%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
SHE
1 - 3
BUR
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
BUR
2 - 2
SHE
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
BUR
2 - 3
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
CHL
0 - 1
BUR
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |