Champions League Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Liverpool vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
LIV
3 - 2
LEI
79%
14%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
EVE
0 - 1
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
ASV
0 - 3
LIV
44%
27%
29%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
MON
2 - 1
LIV
53%
25%
22%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
WOL
1 - 3
LIV
36%
29%
35%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
MON
2 - 1
S04
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
SAA
0 - 1
MON
22%
25%
54%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
MON
2 - 1
LIV
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
MON
3 - 2
F95
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1978 |
BOC
2 - 2
MON
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |