Liverpool vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
13%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
OPA
1 - 2
LIV
23%
27%
50%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
MUD
1 - 0
LIV
56%
24%
21%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
LIV
1 - 0
TOT
54%
26%
20%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
LUT
3 - 5
LIV
21%
27%
53%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 2
LIV
33%
28%
40%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
REA
1 - 1
BIR
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BIR
5 - 0
OPA
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
BIR
2 - 0
GUL
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
CHA
2 - 0
BIR
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
GUL
0 - 0
BIR
20%
25%
55%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |