Liverpool vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
BOL
3 - 2
LIV
45%
24%
32%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 0
ARS
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 2
CHL
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
CHL
1 - 1
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
LIV
3 - 1
EVE
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
BIR
1 - 2
SUN
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
BUR
1 - 1
BIR
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
DER
4 - 1
BIR
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
BIR
2 - 2
DER
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
BIR
1 - 0
STO
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |