Liverpool vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1949 |
CHL
2 - 1
LIV
48%
23%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 1
BPO
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1949 |
LIV
0 - 0
EVE
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
BOL
0 - 3
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
SUN
0 - 2
LIV
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 0
BOL
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1949 |
BIR
1 - 0
CHA
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
STO
2 - 1
BIR
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 0
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 0
BUR
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |