Liverpool vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
BPO
1 - 1
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
LIV
1 - 0
BRE
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1939 |
ARS
2 - 0
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1939 |
HUR
1 - 1
LIV
52%
22%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1939 |
LIV
4 - 4
OPA
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
OPA
2 - 0
BIR
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1939 |
BIR
1 - 1
HUR
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1939 |
EVE
4 - 2
BIR
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1939 |
BIR
3 - 2
WOL
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1939 |
ASV
5 - 1
BIR
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |