Liverpool vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1931 |
LIV
2 - 4
SUN
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1931 |
MUD
4 - 1
LIV
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
SHE
4 - 1
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
LIV
1 - 1
MUD
70%
17%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
LIV
3 - 1
OPA
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1931 |
HUR
1 - 0
BIR
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1931 |
BIR
1 - 0
SUN
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
WBA
2 - 1
BIR
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
BIR
0 - 2
BOL
48%
24%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
SUN
1 - 0
BIR
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |