Liverpool vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
ARS
4 - 4
LIV
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
LIV
2 - 3
HUR
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
LIV
2 - 1
NEW
61%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
WHU
1 - 1
LIV
59%
20%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
EVE
1 - 0
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
BIR
2 - 4
ASV
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
MUD
1 - 0
BIR
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
SHW
3 - 0
BIR
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
BIR
1 - 4
DER
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
SUN
3 - 4
BIR
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |