Liverpool vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
LEE
4 - 1
LIV
32%
31%
37%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
LIV
3 - 0
BUR
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1925 |
SHE
0 - 1
LIV
53%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
PNE
4 - 0
LIV
43%
28%
30%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
SOU
1 - 0
LIV
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1925 |
BBU
7 - 1
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
SHE
4 - 3
BIR
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1925 |
BIR
0 - 0
WBA
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 1
WHU
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |