Liverpool vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
WBA
2 - 0
LIV
47%
28%
26%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1923 |
LIV
1 - 0
STO
68%
18%
14%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1923 |
STO
0 - 0
LIV
35%
30%
35%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1923 |
LIV
1 - 1
HUR
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1923 |
BOL
1 - 1
LIV
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
BIR
3 - 0
ASV
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1923 |
BUR
0 - 2
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1923 |
BIR
1 - 0
BUR
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1923 |
TOT
2 - 0
BIR
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1923 |
BIR
2 - 1
TOT
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |