Liverpool vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
TOT
2 - 1
LIV
36%
27%
37%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 0
OPA
74%
17%
9%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CHL
0 - 1
LIV
59%
23%
17%
|
94 | 97 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
ATM
1 - 1
LIV
38%
28%
34%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LIV
3 - 2
WIG
78%
15%
7%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
ATM
2 - 0
MLL
56%
23%
21%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
ORI
0 - 1
ATM
16%
25%
59%
|
90 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 4
ATM
54%
25%
21%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
ATM
1 - 1
LIV
38%
28%
34%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ATM
1 - 2
RMA
35%
26%
39%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |