Liverpool vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
GEN
2 - 0
LIV
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1992 |
LIV
0 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1992 |
LIV
3 - 2
IPS
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
NOR
3 - 0
LIV
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
IPS
0 - 0
LIV
22%
26%
52%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1992 |
LEE
0 - 0
ASV
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1992 |
MAC
2 - 0
ASV
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
ASV
1 - 0
OLD
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
SWI
1 - 2
ASV
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1992 |
WIM
2 - 0
ASV
51%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |