Liverpool vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
LIV
1 - 1
CHL
76%
15%
9%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1985 |
LIV
2 - 1
MUD
59%
23%
18%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
BIR
0 - 2
LIV
16%
27%
57%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1985 |
LIV
4 - 1
WBA
82%
12%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
COV
0 - 3
LIV
25%
27%
48%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
ASV
1 - 2
TOT
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
CHL
2 - 1
ASV
58%
21%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1985 |
ASV
1 - 1
SHW
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1985 |
WBA
1 - 2
ASV
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
ASV
2 - 2
WBA
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |