Liverpool vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1952 |
BOL
2 - 2
LIV
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1952 |
LIV
5 - 3
NEW
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1952 |
WBA
3 - 0
LIV
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1952 |
LIV
4 - 1
MID
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1952 |
TOT
3 - 1
LIV
68%
18%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1952 |
ASV
1 - 0
MID
62%
19%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1952 |
ASV
1 - 1
BOL
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1952 |
OPA
1 - 1
ASV
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1952 |
ASV
3 - 3
MUD
44%
23%
33%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1952 |
ASV
0 - 1
WOL
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |