Liverpool vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1952 |
SUN
3 - 0
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1952 |
LIV
1 - 1
WOL
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1951 |
HUR
1 - 2
LIV
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1951 |
BPO
2 - 0
LIV
57%
22%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 1
BPO
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1952 |
ASV
4 - 0
BPO
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1952 |
ARS
2 - 1
ASV
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1951 |
ASV
1 - 2
MAC
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1951 |
WOL
1 - 2
ASV
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1951 |
ASV
3 - 3
WOL
52%
22%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |