Liverpool vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1948 |
PNE
3 - 2
LIV
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 1
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
STO
3 - 0
LIV
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 1
CHA
63%
20%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1948 |
MAC
2 - 4
LIV
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1948 |
MID
6 - 0
ASV
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1948 |
ASV
0 - 3
BIR
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
CHL
2 - 1
ASV
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
ASV
0 - 1
EVE
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1948 |
PNE
0 - 1
ASV
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |