Liverpool vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
BUR
1 - 0
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
LIV
0 - 0
BUR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
LIV
0 - 1
NEW
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 0
LIV
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1920 |
BRA
1 - 3
LIV
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
ASV
0 - 0
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
BRA
4 - 0
ASV
47%
24%
28%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1920 |
ASV
4 - 1
BRA
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1920 |
WBA
2 - 1
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |