Liverpool vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1912 |
MUD
3 - 1
LIV
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
LIV
0 - 0
NOT
73%
15%
11%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1912 |
MID
3 - 4
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1912 |
LIV
4 - 1
TOT
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
DER
4 - 2
LIV
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1912 |
SUN
3 - 1
ASV
49%
23%
28%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
ASV
4 - 2
MUD
75%
15%
11%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1912 |
NOT
1 - 1
ASV
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1912 |
ASV
5 - 1
MID
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
TOT
3 - 3
ASV
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |