Liverpool vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1912 |
LIV
2 - 1
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
PNE
2 - 1
LIV
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
MUD
1 - 1
LIV
68%
19%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
LIV
1 - 2
TOT
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 0
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1912 |
ASV
0 - 1
BOL
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
ASV
6 - 0
MUD
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
TOT
2 - 1
ASV
43%
25%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
ASV
5 - 1
NOT
78%
14%
9%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1912 |
NOT
2 - 0
ASV
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |