Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
57%
24%
19%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
59%
23%
18%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 0
EVE
66%
21%
13%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
MUD
3 - 0
LIV
61%
23%
16%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
LIV
2 - 1
REA
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
57%
24%
19%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
59%
23%
18%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BOL
2 - 3
ARS
16%
25%
59%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
52%
25%
23%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
79%
15%
6%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | -1 |