Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 3
ARS
41%
28%
31%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
LIV
3 - 0
BOL
58%
25%
18%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
TOT
0 - 1
LIV
39%
27%
35%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
BBU
1 - 0
LIV
30%
27%
43%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
LIV
2 - 0
WAT
71%
19%
10%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 3
ARS
41%
28%
31%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2007 |
ARS
4 - 0
CHA
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
SHE
1 - 0
ARS
16%
25%
59%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
WAT
1 - 2
ARS
15%
25%
60%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
ARS
6 - 2
BBU
73%
18%
10%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |