Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1985 |
JUV
1 - 0
LIV
58%
24%
18%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1985 |
EVE
1 - 0
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1985 |
WHU
0 - 3
LIV
33%
28%
40%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1985 |
LIV
4 - 3
WAT
69%
18%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1985 |
SOU
1 - 1
LIV
44%
26%
30%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1985 |
WBA
2 - 2
ARS
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1985 |
ARS
1 - 0
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1985 |
LUT
3 - 1
ARS
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1985 |
ARS
1 - 0
SHW
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1985 |
QPR
1 - 0
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |