Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
LIV
3 - 0
NOR
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1978 |
LIV
2 - 2
IPS
70%
18%
12%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
BRI
1 - 1
LIV
30%
29%
41%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
LIV
3 - 0
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
LIV
3 - 2
LEI
79%
14%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
LEE
1 - 3
ARS
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
ARS
2 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1978 |
QPR
2 - 1
ARS
42%
27%
31%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
ARS
3 - 0
LEY
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |