Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1974 |
FTC
0 - 0
LIV
30%
28%
42%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
IPS
1 - 0
LIV
40%
29%
30%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
LIV
1 - 0
LEE
56%
24%
20%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
LIV
1 - 1
FTC
87%
9%
4%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
QPR
0 - 1
LIV
29%
31%
40%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
ARS
0 - 0
WOL
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
ARS
3 - 0
WHU
50%
27%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
TOT
2 - 0
ARS
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1974 |
MAC
2 - 1
ARS
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
ARS
2 - 2
QPR
55%
25%
20%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |