Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
CHL
0 - 1
LIV
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1965 |
LIV
2 - 1
BUR
61%
20%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
LIV
3 - 1
SDL
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1965 |
STO
0 - 0
LIV
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1965 |
LIV
5 - 2
BBU
66%
18%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
ARS
3 - 3
ASV
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1965 |
ARS
3 - 2
WHU
60%
20%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1965 |
LEE
2 - 0
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
ARS
6 - 2
SHE
67%
19%
15%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1965 |
LEI
3 - 1
ARS
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |