Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
WOL
2 - 1
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1951 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 1
HUR
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1951 |
LIV
3 - 1
BUR
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1951 |
CHL
1 - 3
LIV
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
ASV
1 - 0
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1951 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1951 |
ARS
3 - 0
SUN
64%
18%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1951 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
75%
14%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1951 |
WOL
2 - 1
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |