Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1932 |
LIV
4 - 3
OPA
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
LEI
1 - 2
LIV
57%
19%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
EVE
3 - 1
LIV
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1932 |
LIV
0 - 1
BOL
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
MID
0 - 1
LIV
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1932 |
BBU
2 - 3
ARS
51%
21%
27%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
ARS
3 - 3
DER
68%
17%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
BPO
1 - 2
ARS
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1932 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
68%
17%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
ARS
3 - 2
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |