Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
30%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1932 |
LIV
2 - 1
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1932 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIV
66%
17%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1932 |
HUR
4 - 3
LIV
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1932 |
LIV
0 - 3
HUR
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1932 |
LIV
1 - 2
SUN
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1932 |
SUN
2 - 0
ARS
48%
22%
30%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1932 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHL
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1932 |
DER
1 - 1
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1932 |
WHU
1 - 1
ARS
43%
23%
35%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1932 |
ARS
2 - 1
DER
69%
17%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |