Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1922 |
HUR
1 - 0
LIV
45%
26%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1922 |
WBA
1 - 4
LIV
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
LIV
1 - 2
WBA
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
CAR
2 - 0
LIV
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
LIV
2 - 1
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 0
BRA
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
BRA
0 - 2
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 0
TOT
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1922 |
ARS
2 - 2
WBA
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
WBA
0 - 3
ARS
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |