Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
LIV
1 - 0
BIR
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 2
LIV
44%
28%
28%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
HUR
0 - 1
LIV
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
LIV
2 - 1
BRA
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1922 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
50%
26%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1922 |
BUR
1 - 0
ARS
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
ARS
2 - 1
NEW
52%
27%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
ARS
0 - 0
BUR
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 0
CHL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |