Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1921 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 3
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
BOL
1 - 0
LIV
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
LIV
1 - 1
DER
73%
17%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
DER
0 - 0
LIV
44%
28%
28%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1921 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1921 |
ARS
2 - 1
PNE
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 1
NEW
53%
25%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARS
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |