Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
LIV
2 - 0
BCF
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
LIV
1 - 0
OLD
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
MUD
2 - 0
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
LIV
2 - 1
NOT
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
MID
1 - 1
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
ARS
2 - 0
TOT
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
NEW
0 - 1
ARS
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
ARS
3 - 0
BRI
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |