Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14%
11.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1909 |
SHE
4 - 2
LIV
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
LIV
3 - 0
BOL
81%
12%
8%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 1
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1909 |
LIV
0 - 0
MID
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
ARS
0 - 3
NEW
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 2
NOT
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1909 |
PNE
3 - 4
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 0
TOT
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |