Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
OLD
0 - 1
LIV
23%
23%
54%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
LIV
2 - 0
BIR
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
SUN
5 - 5
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
LIV
0 - 2
BBU
75%
16%
10%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
BOL
3 - 0
LIV
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
ARS
2 - 1
BRI
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARS
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
ARS
1 - 0
PNE
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
MID
5 - 3
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
SHW
1 - 1
ARS
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |