Liverpool vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 1
SOU
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 1
FCR
61%
23%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TOT
0 - 0
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
EVE
1 - 1
LIV
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 1
SIO
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BOU
1 - 5
TOT
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
5 - 1
BOU
85%
11%
4%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BOU
1 - 1
WAT
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
STO
2 - 1
BOU
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
PNE
2 - 2
BOU
33%
25%
43%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |