Europa League 1/16
Global 6-1
Liverpool vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
LIV
2 - 1
STO
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
SOU
1 - 1
LIV
31%
32%
37%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
LIV
1 - 0
EVE
69%
20%
12%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1972 |
LEE
1 - 2
LIV
63%
23%
14%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1972 |
EIN
0 - 0
LIV
44%
27%
29%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
SAL
1 - 1
AEK
28%
21%
51%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
AEK
3 - 1
SAL
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
AEK
3 - 2
INT
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
INT
4 - 1
AEK
79%
14%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1970 |
TWE
3 - 0
AEK
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |