Liverpool U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LIV
1 - 0
NEW
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
EVE
1 - 2
LIV
56%
19%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +3 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
STO
1 - 5
LIV
17%
18%
66%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 1
MID
61%
19%
20%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 2
LIV
45%
21%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DER
1 - 0
STO
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 4
DER
45%
21%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +3 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
DER
2 - 2
WBA
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
MID
1 - 2
DER
68%
17%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
DER
0 - 2
EVE
17%
18%
65%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |