Liverpool Montevideo vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 1
LFC
20%
24%
56%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LFC
0 - 1
DEP
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
PLA
0 - 0
LFC
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
LFC
2 - 2
HFC
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CSC
2 - 5
LFC
20%
24%
56%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 1
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CSY
3 - 0
ROC
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 2
VIL
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CSM
2 - 1
ROC
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 0
CEL
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |