Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 3
LFC
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LFC
7 - 1
PLA
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HFC
2 - 3
LFC
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LFC
5 - 0
CSC
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 1
LFC
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 0
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CSY
1 - 1
PRO
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 2
VIL
41%
28%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CSM
1 - 1
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 1
CEL
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |