Liverpool Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
1º
1º
4
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CER
1 - 0
LFC
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
LFC
3 - 2
DEP
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
COR
3 - 0
LFC
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
LFC
3 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 3
LFC
27%
28%
46%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 3
DEP
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 1
PLA
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 1
FEN
45%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
RAC
4 - 1
PLA
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 3
CEL
41%
30%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |