Liverpool Montevideo vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 0
LFC
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
LFC
1 - 1
ETS
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MWA
2 - 0
LFC
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LFC
2 - 2
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FEN
1 - 1
LFC
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 5
PEÑ
16%
21%
63%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
MWA
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
PRO
76%
17%
8%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 3
PEÑ
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 0
PEÑ
37%
25%
39%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |