Liverpool Montevideo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 3
LFC
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 0
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 1
LFC
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LFC
3 - 2
BOS
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
DEF
3 - 0
LFC
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
DAN
68%
21%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
CSC
1 - 2
NAC
12%
25%
63%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 1
NAC
22%
26%
52%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FEN
1 - 1
NAC
23%
27%
50%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |